Agate Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s cookin’.

Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Agate Beach over the next 16 days is a grind. There’s swell, but the stars never line up for a clean session. The water is running much colder than normal for this time of year, nearly 4° cooler than average, so you’ll want a thick suit if you’re even thinking about paddling out.

The first real chance of anything surfable kicks off Thursday the 16th of July, but it’s pretty marginal. Early morning we’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the WNW with a very long 19-second period, and the combined energy is moderate (426). The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. That long period groundswell might offer some shape, but it’s a point break, so it could still work. The afternoon is a write-off with poor conditions.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th see the swell bump up to 3ft, but the wind stays cross-onshore, getting a bit stronger and choppier. The energy climbs to moderate-strong (574-804), but the quality just isn’t there. The swell period drops to 16-17 seconds, so it’s still long-period groundswell, but the wind messes it up.

Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th bring the biggest swell of the whole period, hitting 6ft from the NW with a short period around 8 seconds. The combined energy is strong (706-749), but the wind is cross-shore to cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. This is a beach-and-reef setup, so with that short-period, wind-affected swell, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. These waves are also too big for beginners.

The rest of the first week and into the second week, from the 21st of July through to the 31st, is a real struggle. The swell drops back to 1ft to 5ft, and while the wind is sometimes light, the conditions are almost always rated as marginal or poor. There are no standout days. The best of a bad bunch might be the early morning of Tuesday the 28th, with a 3ft SW swell at 19 seconds, light cross-on wind, and moderate energy (539), but it’s still only a marginal call.

Honestly, there’s no single session I’d drive for. The waves are there, but the quality is missing. It’s a long stretch of nothing special, but with this kind of consistent but messed-up pattern, the forecasts can change, so keep checking back.

Rusty.

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