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Willow Creek ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 2.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Willow Creek Swell Statistics, November: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Willow Creek that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal November. It is based on 2867 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 38% of the time, equivalent to 11 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 2.0% of the time in a typical November, equivalent to just one day but 20% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 20%, equivalent to (6 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Willow Creek is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Willow Creek about 38% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 59% of the time. This is means that we expect 29 days with waves in a typical November, of which 11 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.