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Wilkes Pass ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.8

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Surf Report Feed

Wilkes Pass Swell Statistics, February: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Wilkes Pass that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical February and is based upon 2440 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the ENE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 46% of the time, equivalent to 13 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal February but 20% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 20%, equivalent to (6 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Wilkes Pass is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Wilkes Pass about 46% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 35% of the time. This is means that we expect 23 days with waves in a typical February, of which 13 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.