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Tonel ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.3
Consistency of Surf: 4.3
Difficulty Level: 3.7
Wind and Kite Surfing: 4.0
Crowds: 4.3

Overall: 4.4

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Tonel Swell Statistics, March: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Tonel that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical March. It is based on 2716 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red shows highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the N. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 29% of the time, equivalent to 9 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal March but 12% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 12%, equivalent to (4 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Tonel is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Tonel about 29% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 62% of the time. This is means that we expect 28 days with waves in a typical March, of which 9 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.