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South Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

South Beach Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at South Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was W, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 20% of the time, equivalent to 6 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 3% of the time in a typical October, equivalent to just one day but 17% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 17%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that South Beach is quite sheltered from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at South Beach about 20% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 33% of the time. This is means that we expect 16 days with waves in a typical October, of which 6 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.