This image describes how frequently and how strongly the wind blows from different directions through a typical southern hemisphere winter. The longest spokes point in the directions the wind most commonly blows from and the shade of blue indicates the strength, with deep blue strongest. It is based on 5066 NWW3 forecasts of wind since since 2006, at 3hr intervals, for the closest NWW3 model node to Seaford Reef, located 35 km away (22 miles). There are insufficient recording stations world wide to use actual wind data. Invevitably some coastal places have very localized wind effects that would not be predicted by NWW3.
According to the model, the most common wind at Seaford Reef blows from the SW. If the rose plot shows a nearly round shape, it means there is no strong bias in wind direction at Seaford Reef. Converseley, dominant spokes illustrate favoured directions, and the more dark blue, the stronger the wind. Spokes point in the direction the wind blows from. Over an average southern hemisphere winter, the model suggests that winds are light enough for the sea to be glassy (the lightest shade of blue) about 9% of the time (8 days each southern hemisphere winter) and blows offshore 23% of the time (12 days in an average southern hemisphere winter). In a typical southern hemisphere winter winds stronger than >40kph (25mph) are expected on 3 days at Seaford Reef
IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.