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Fletcher Cove Park ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 2.0

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Fletcher Cove Park Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Fletcher Cove Park that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical October. It is based on 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell happens.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 53% of the time, equivalent to 16 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal October. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Fletcher Cove Park is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Fletcher Cove Park about 53% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 45% of the time. This is means that we expect 30 days with waves in a typical October, of which 16 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.