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Surf Break Rating

Rate Papatea Bay


Surf Report Feed

Papatea Bay Swell Statistics, February: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Papatea Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal February and is based upon 2440 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was NNE, whereas the the most common wind blows from the ENE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 16% of the time, equivalent to 4 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal February. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Papatea Bay is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Papatea Bay about 16% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 25% of the time. This is means that we expect 11 days with waves in a typical February, of which 4 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.