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Midshore Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.2

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Surf Report Feed

Midshore Bay Swell Statistics, February: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Midshore Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical February and is based upon 2664 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SE, whereas the the most common wind blows from the ENE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 20% of the time, equivalent to 6 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal February. Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Midshore Bay is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Midshore Bay about 20% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 29% of the time. This is means that we expect 14 days with waves in a typical February, of which 6 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.