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La FAE ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 5.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

La FAE Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at La FAE that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 8682 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 38% of the time, equivalent to 35 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal southern hemisphere autumn but 21% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 21%, equivalent to (19 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that La FAE is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at La FAE about 38% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 60% of the time. This is means that we expect 89 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 35 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.