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Jailbreaks ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Jailbreaks Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jailbreaks that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal January and is based upon 2620 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 5% of the time, equivalent to 2 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal January. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Jailbreaks is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Jailbreaks about 5% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 27% of the time. This is means that we expect 10 days with waves in a typical January, of which 2 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.