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Jacarandas ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 3.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Jacarandas Swell Statistics, May: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jacarandas that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical May. It is based on 2696 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 31% of the time, equivalent to 10 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal May. Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Jacarandas is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Jacarandas about 31% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 69% of the time. This is means that we expect 31 days with waves in a typical May, of which 10 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.