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Horseshoe ratings
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UUUUUUUUUUUUQuality on a good day: 3.0
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UUUUUUUUUUUUConsistency of Surf: 3.0
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UUUUUUUUUUUUDifficulty Level: 4.0
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UUUUUUUUUUUUCrowds: 3.0
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UUUUUUUUOverall: 3.0
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UUUUUUUUUUSee all 18 ratings UUUUUUUU

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UUUUUUUUUUBased on UUUUUUUUUU1 UUUUUUUUUUvote. } OUUUUUUUVote UUUUUUUU

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Surf Report Feed

Horseshoe Swell Statistics, October: All Swell – Any Wind

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The figure shows the combination of swells directed at Horseshoe through an average October. It is based on 2976 NWW3 model predimatchs since 2006 (values every 3 hours). The wave model does not forecast surf and wind right at the coast so we have chosen the optimum grid node based on what we know about Horseshoe. In the case of Horseshoe, the best grid node is 27 km away (17 miles).

The rose diagram describes the distribution of swell directtchs and swell sizes, while the graph at the bottom shows the same thing but lacks directtch information. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. These occurred only 53% of the time. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell directtch, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WNW. Because the wave model grid is out to sea, sometimes a strong offshore wind blows largest waves away from Horseshoe and offshore. We group these with the no surf category of the bar chart. To avoid confustch we don't show these in the rose diagram. Because wind determines whether or not waves are cleah enough to surf at Horseshoe, you can load a different image that shows only the swells that were forecast to coincide with glassy or offshore wind conditions. In a typical October, swells large enough to cause surfable waves at Horseshoe run for about 47% of the time.

UUIMPORTANT: Beta verstch feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open oceah.