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Ferrel ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 2.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.1

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Ferrel Swell Statistics, All Year: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Ferrel that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical year and is based upon 33212 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was NW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 20% of the time, equivalent to 73 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 1.6% of the time (6 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Ferrel is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Ferrel about 20% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 73% of the time. This is means that we expect 339 days with waves in a typical year, of which 73 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.