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Fennels Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 3.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.1

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Fennels Bay Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Fennels Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 7252 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell happens.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 13% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 0.9% of the time in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, equivalent to just one day but 6% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 6%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Fennels Bay is slightly protected from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Fennels Bay about 13% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 19% of the time. This is means that we expect 29 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, of which 12 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.