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Fennels Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 3.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.1

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote

Surf Report Feed

Fennels Bay Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Fennels Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere autumn and is based upon 8476 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 12% of the time, equivalent to 11 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 0.8% of the time in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, equivalent to just one day but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Fennels Bay is slightly protected from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Fennels Bay about 12% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 19% of the time. This is means that we expect 28 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, of which 11 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.