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Fairlight ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0

Overall: 2.2

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Surf Report Feed

Fairlight Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Fairlight that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 7238 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 12% of the time, equivalent to 11 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 0.7% of the time in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, equivalent to just one day but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Fairlight is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Fairlight about 12% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 22% of the time. This is means that we expect 31 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, of which 11 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.