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Express Point ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.8
Difficulty Level: 4.2
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.3
Crowds: 3.2

Overall: 3.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Express Point Swell Statistics, September: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Express Point that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical September. It is based on 2400 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 31% of the time, equivalent to 9 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 2% of the time in a typical September, equivalent to just one day but 10% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 10%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Express Point is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Express Point about 31% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 24% of the time. This is means that we expect 16 days with waves in a typical September, of which 9 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.