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Dry Lagoon ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.5
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 4.5
Accommodation: 2.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Dry Lagoon Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Dry Lagoon that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October and is based upon 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red represents the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was W, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 26% of the time, equivalent to 8 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only occur 3% of the time in a typical October, equivalent to just one day but 12% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 12%, equivalent to (4 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds we calculate that clean surf can be found at Dry Lagoon about 26% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 69% of the time. This is means that we expect 29 days with waves in a typical October, of which 8 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.