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Chickens ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 3.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Chickens Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Chickens that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 7252 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSE, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 20% of the time, equivalent to 18 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere autumn but 3% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Chickens is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Chickens about 20% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 45% of the time. This is means that we expect 59 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, of which 18 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.