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Cerritos ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.7

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Cerritos Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Cerritos that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 6931 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 56% of the time, equivalent to 51 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere winter but 11% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 11%, equivalent to (10 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Cerritos is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Cerritos about 56% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 41% of the time. This is means that we expect 88 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 51 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.