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Carskiey Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.7

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Carskiey Bay Swell Statistics, All Year: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Carskiey Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal year. It is based on 22699 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 0.4% of the time, equivalent to 1 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 0.4% of the time in a typical year, equivalent to just one day but 2% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 2%, equivalent to (7 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Carskiey Bay is very sheltered from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Carskiey Bay about 0.4% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 0.6% of the time. This is means that we expect 4 days with waves in a typical year, of which 1 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.