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Carcavelos ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 2.9
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.8
Crowds: 2.3

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

Based on 16 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Carcavelos Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Carcavelos that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 6931 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell occurs.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 48% of the time, equivalent to 44 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 11% of the time (10 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Carcavelos is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Carcavelos about 48% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 46% of the time. This is means that we expect 86 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 44 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.