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Carcavelos ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 2.9
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.8
Crowds: 2.3

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

Based on 16 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Carcavelos Swell Statistics, July: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Carcavelos that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal July and is based upon 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was NW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 67% of the time, equivalent to 21 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal July but 9% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 9%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Carcavelos is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Carcavelos about 67% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 10% of the time. This is means that we expect 24 days with waves in a typical July, of which 21 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.