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Cannibal Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 2.5
Crowds: 4.5
Camping: 3.0

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Cannibal Bay Swell Statistics, February: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Cannibal Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical February. It is based on 2664 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was S, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 28% of the time, equivalent to 8 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal February but 12% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 12%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Cannibal Bay is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Cannibal Bay about 28% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 38% of the time. This is means that we expect 18 days with waves in a typical February, of which 8 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.

FEATURE UPDATE: we now show red swell icons for 'open sea' swells that are travelling in an unfavourable direction for the surf break. In places, these swells may still wrap around coastlines and produce smaller waves at some breaks. They are also significant for windsurfers and other water users that tend to venture further off-shore.