Bouznika Plage Swell Statistics, July: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds
This image shows only the swells directed at Bouznika Plage that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical July. It is based on 1984 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.
The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was NW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 2.0% of the time, equivalent to 1 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal July but 25% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 25%, equivalent to (8 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Bouznika Plage is quite sheltered from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Bouznika Plage about 2.0% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 1.0% of the time. This is means that we expect 1 days with waves in a typical July, of which 1 days should be clean enough to surf.
IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.