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Ballona Creek and Jetty ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

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Surf Report Feed

Ballona Creek and Jetty Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Ballona Creek and Jetty that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October and is based upon 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the W. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 52% of the time, equivalent to 16 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal October. Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Ballona Creek and Jetty is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Ballona Creek and Jetty about 52% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 40% of the time. This is means that we expect 29 days with waves in a typical October, of which 16 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.