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Ballona Creek and Jetty ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

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Surf Report Feed

Ballona Creek and Jetty Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Ballona Creek and Jetty that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell occurs.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the W. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 52% of the time, equivalent to 16 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal October. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Ballona Creek and Jetty is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Ballona Creek and Jetty about 52% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 39% of the time. This is means that we expect 28 days with waves in a typical October, of which 16 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.