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Windmills ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Windmills Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Windmills that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere autumn and is based upon 8682 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 33% of the time, equivalent to 30 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only occur 0.7% of the time in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, equivalent to just one day but 8% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 8%, equivalent to (7 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Windmills is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Windmills about 33% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 66% of the time. This is means that we expect 90 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 30 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.