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Willow Creek ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.5
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 2.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Willow Creek Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Willow Creek that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical January and is based upon 2620 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the N. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 49% of the time, equivalent to 15 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 6% of the time (2 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Willow Creek is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Willow Creek about 49% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 49% of the time. This is means that we expect 30 days with waves in a typical January, of which 15 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.