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Watergate Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.7
Consistency of Surf: 3.3
Difficulty Level: 2.7
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.5
Crowds: 2.7

Overall: 3.7

See all 18 ratings

Based on 3 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Watergate Bay Swell Statistics, All Year: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Watergate Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal year. It is based on 34628 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was W (which was the same as the most common wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 14% of the time, equivalent to 51 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 0.7% of the time (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Watergate Bay is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Watergate Bay about 14% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 49% of the time. This is means that we expect 230 days with waves in a typical year, of which 51 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.