uk es it fr pt nl
Watergate Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.7
Consistency of Surf: 3.3
Difficulty Level: 2.7
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.5
Crowds: 2.7

Overall: 3.7

See all 18 ratings

Based on 3 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Watergate Bay Swell Statistics, February: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Watergate Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical February. It is based on 2440 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was W, whereas the the most common wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 21% of the time, equivalent to 6 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 3% of the time in a typical February, equivalent to just one day but 10% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 10%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Watergate Bay is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Watergate Bay about 21% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 62% of the time. This is means that we expect 23 days with waves in a typical February, of which 6 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.