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Ward Avenue ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 2.8

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Ward Avenue Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Ward Avenue that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical January. It is based on 2620 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red illustrates highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the N. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 53% of the time, equivalent to 16 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 12% of the time (4 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Ward Avenue is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Ward Avenue about 53% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 45% of the time. This is means that we expect 30 days with waves in a typical January, of which 16 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.