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Waipapakauri Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.6

See all 18 ratings

Based on 1 vote. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Waipapakauri Beach Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Waipapakauri Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 8682 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 13% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal southern hemisphere autumn but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Waipapakauri Beach is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Waipapakauri Beach about 13% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 27% of the time. This is means that we expect 36 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 12 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.