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Surf Break Rating

Rate Wainui Beach - Whales


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Wainui Beach - Whales Swell Statistics, March: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Wainui Beach - Whales that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical March. It is based on 2964 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was ESE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NNE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 42% of the time, equivalent to 13 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal March but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Wainui Beach - Whales is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Wainui Beach - Whales about 42% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 55% of the time. This is means that we expect 30 days with waves in a typical March, of which 13 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.