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Waimarie ratings
Quality on a good day: 5.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Waimarie Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Waimarie that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere autumn and is based upon 8682 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red represents the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was W, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 39% of the time, equivalent to 35 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only occur 0.6% of the time in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, equivalent to just one day but 11% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 11%, equivalent to (10 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Waimarie is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Waimarie about 39% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 56% of the time. This is means that we expect 86 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 35 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.