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Waikawau Bay ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.5
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 2.8

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Waikawau Bay Swell Statistics, March: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Waikawau Bay that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical March. It is based on 2716 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was ENE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 3% of the time, equivalent to 1 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal March. Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Waikawau Bay is slightly protected from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Waikawau Bay about 3% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 20% of the time. This is means that we expect 7 days with waves in a typical March, of which 1 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.