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Urca da Conceicao ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Urca da Conceicao Swell Statistics, May: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Urca da Conceicao that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal May and is based upon 2838 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was N, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the ESE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 2% of the time, equivalent to 1 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal May. Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Urca da Conceicao is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Urca da Conceicao about 2% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 83% of the time. This is means that we expect 26 days with waves in a typical May, of which 1 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.