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Uraga Point ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 1.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 2.8

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Uraga Point Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Uraga Point that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere spring and is based upon 8052 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was S, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 20% of the time, equivalent to 18 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere spring but 2% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 2%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Uraga Point is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Uraga Point about 20% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 15% of the time. This is means that we expect 32 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere spring, of which 18 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.