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Upolu Point ratings
Quality on a good day: 5.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 4.0

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Surf Report Feed

Upolu Point Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Upolu Point that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 8485 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell occurs.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was NNW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the E. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 12% of the time, equivalent to 11 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 0.7% of the time in a typical northern hemisphere winter, equivalent to just one day but 2% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 2%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Upolu Point is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Upolu Point about 12% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 27% of the time. This is means that we expect 35 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 11 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.