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Spuds ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 5.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Spuds Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Spuds that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical October. It is based on 2975 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell happens.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SSE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the ENE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 6% of the time, equivalent to 2 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal October. Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds we estimate that clean surf can be found at Spuds about 6% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 35% of the time. This is means that we expect 13 days with waves in a typical October, of which 2 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.