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Scott Creek-Reef ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.3

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Surf Report Feed

Scott Creek-Reef Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Scott Creek-Reef that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 18% of the time, equivalent to 6 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal October but 7% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 7%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Scott Creek-Reef is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Scott Creek-Reef about 18% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 67% of the time. This is means that we expect 26 days with waves in a typical October, of which 6 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.