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Santa Cruz - 26th ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.5
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 2.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.5

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Santa Cruz - 26th Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Santa Cruz - 26th that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical October and is based upon 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red represents the highest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 17% of the time, equivalent to 5 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal October but 13% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 13%, equivalent to (4 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Santa Cruz - 26th is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Santa Cruz - 26th about 17% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 4% of the time. This is means that we expect 7 days with waves in a typical October, of which 5 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.