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Refugio State Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.5
Difficulty Level: 2.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.9

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Refugio State Beach Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Refugio State Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell occurs.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was W, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 40% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal October but 15% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 15%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Refugio State Beach is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Refugio State Beach about 40% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 41% of the time. This is means that we expect 25 days with waves in a typical October, of which 12 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.