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Refugio State Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 2.5
Difficulty Level: 2.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 3.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.9

See all 18 ratings

Based on 4 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Refugio State Beach Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Refugio State Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal October. It is based on 2976 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 42% of the time, equivalent to 13 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal October but 17% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 17%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Refugio State Beach is slightly protected from open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Refugio State Beach about 42% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 40% of the time. This is means that we expect 25 days with waves in a typical October, of which 13 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.