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Manhattan Beach and Pier ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.4
Consistency of Surf: 3.2
Difficulty Level: 3.1
Wind and Kite Surfing: 4.0
Crowds: 3.4

Overall: 3.8

See all 18 ratings

Based on 9 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Manhattan Beach and Pier Swell Statistics, January: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Manhattan Beach and Pier that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical January. It is based on 2868 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 43% of the time, equivalent to 13 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal January but 8% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 8%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Manhattan Beach and Pier is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Manhattan Beach and Pier about 43% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 37% of the time. This is means that we expect 25 days with waves in a typical January, of which 13 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.

FEATURE UPDATE: we now show red swell icons for 'open sea' swells that are travelling in an unfavourable direction for the surf break. In places, these swells may still wrap around coastlines and produce smaller waves at some breaks. They are also significant for windsurfers and other water users that tend to venture further off-shore.