uk es it fr pt nl
Leo Carillo State Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.4
Consistency of Surf: 3.4
Difficulty Level: 2.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 2.2

Overall: 3.0

See all 18 ratings

Based on 5 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Leo Carillo State Beach Swell Statistics, October: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Leo Carillo State Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical October. It is based on 2480 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red shows largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the W. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 53% of the time, equivalent to 16 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal October. Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Leo Carillo State Beach is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Leo Carillo State Beach about 53% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 34% of the time. This is means that we expect 27 days with waves in a typical October, of which 16 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.