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Lacerations (Nusa Lembongan) ratings
Quality on a good day: 4.5
Consistency of Surf: 2.0
Difficulty Level: 3.5
Crowds: 1.5
Accommodation: 5.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Lacerations (Nusa Lembongan) Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Lacerations (Nusa Lembongan) that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere winter. It is based on 8738 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red shows the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the ESE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 64% of the time, equivalent to 58 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 1.0% of the time in a typical southern hemisphere winter, equivalent to just one day but 63% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 63%, equivalent to (57 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Lacerations (Nusa Lembongan) is quite sheltered from open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Lacerations (Nusa Lembongan) about 64% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 0% of the time. This is means that we expect 58 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere winter, of which 58 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.