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La Garde Guerin ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 2.8

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

La Garde Guerin Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at La Garde Guerin that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 7761 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents largest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was WNW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the SW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 12% of the time, equivalent to 11 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere winter but 2% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 2%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that La Garde Guerin is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at La Garde Guerin about 12% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 49% of the time. This is means that we expect 56 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 11 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.