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La Caffrine ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.7

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Surf Report Feed

La Caffrine Swell Statistics, May: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at La Caffrine that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical May. It is based on 2696 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell happens.

The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the ESE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 73% of the time, equivalent to 23 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only arise 1.9% of the time in a typical May, equivalent to just one day but 31% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 31%, equivalent to (10 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that La Caffrine is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at La Caffrine about 73% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 25% of the time. This is means that we expect 30 days with waves in a typical May, of which 23 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.