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La Caffrine ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 1.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 2.7

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Surf Report Feed

La Caffrine Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at La Caffrine that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere autumn and is based upon 8052 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the ESE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 72% of the time, equivalent to 66 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 1.0% of the time in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, equivalent to just one day but 22% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 22%, equivalent to (20 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that La Caffrine is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at La Caffrine about 72% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 22% of the time. This is means that we expect 86 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 66 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.