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Jones Beach State Park ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.8
Consistency of Surf: 3.8
Difficulty Level: 3.5
Wind and Kite Surfing: 4.7
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.9

See all 18 ratings

Based on 6 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Jones Beach State Park Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jones Beach State Park that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 7763 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 30% of the time, equivalent to 27 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere winter but 2% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 2%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Jones Beach State Park is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Jones Beach State Park about 30% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 26% of the time. This is means that we expect 51 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 27 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.