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Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) ratings
Quality on a good day: 2.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 2.0

Overall: 3.0

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Surf Report Feed

Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere spring and is based upon 8051 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was E, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 13% of the time, equivalent to 12 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere spring but 1.8% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 1.8%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) about 13% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 27% of the time. This is means that we expect 36 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere spring, of which 12 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.